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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Watford |
23.54% | 25.46% | 51% |
Both teams to score 48.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.29% | 53.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.81% | 75.19% |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.07% | 37.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.3% | 74.7% |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.92% | 21.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.1% | 53.89% |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 7.75% 2-1 @ 5.85% 2-0 @ 3.76% 3-1 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.61% Total : 23.54% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 7.99% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 12.44% 0-2 @ 9.69% 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-3 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 4.88% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-4 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.9% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.43% Total : 50.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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