Championship

Championship | Gameweek 41

Apr 9, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
2 - 0
Reading

Sarr (12', 14')
Zinckernagel (17'), Hughes (75'), Success (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rinomhota (56')

Reaction

Reading manager Veljko Paunovic pictured in December 2020

Veljko Paunovic refuses to blame George Puscas for Watford loss

The forward wasted a good chance as the Royals lost 2-0 to Watford as Ismaila Sarr scored twice.

Apr 9, 22:25

The Match

Match Report

The Hornets were 2-0 winners at home to Reading.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Reading
54.18%	25.67%	20.15%

Both teams to score 44.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.3%

57.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.54%

78.45%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.63%

21.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.65%

54.35%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.35%

43.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.17%

79.83%

Score Analysis

Watford 54.17%

Reading 20.15%

Draw 25.66%

Watford	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 14.39% 2-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 9.21% 3-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 4.74% 4-0 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.03% Total : 54.17%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 9.33% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 7.73% 1-2 @ 4.95% 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.15%

How you voted: Watford vs Reading

Watford

81.1%

Draw

9.1%

Reading

9.8%