Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Apr 5, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Watford

Bolasie (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sarr (32')
Chalobah (25')

Reaction

Middlesbrough manager Neil Warnock pictured in February 2021

Neil Warnock backs Watford to "walk it" in promotion push

Substitute Yannick Bolasie headed a Boro equaliser to secure a 1-1 draw after Ismaila Sarr had put Watford ahead.

Apr 5, 15:27

The Match

Match Report

Ismaila Sarr's controversial first-half goal for Watford stood despite Boro claims for handball.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Watford
28.99%	27.43%	43.57%

Both teams to score 47.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.39%

57.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.62%

78.38%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.56%

35.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.8%

72.19%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76%

26.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.66%

61.34%

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 28.99%

Watford 43.57%

Draw 27.43%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 6.7% 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.05% Total : 28.99%	1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.3% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.43%	0-1 @ 12.43% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 8.32% 1-3 @ 3.85% 0-3 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.09% Total : 43.57%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Watford

Middlesbrough

8.4%

Draw

19.3%

Watford

72.3%