Championship

Championship | Gameweek 39

Apr 2, 2021 at 3pm UK

Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth
3 - 1
Middlesbrough

Billing (14'), Lerma (66'), Solanke (83')
Billing (59'), Smith (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Watmore (63')
McNair (69'), Bola (90+1')

Reaction

Bournemouth manager Jonathan Woodgate pictured on February 20, 2021

Jonathan Woodgate to celebrate with Chinese food and wine after Boro victory

The Cherries picked off Middlesbrough to keep their promotion hopes alive.

Apr 2, 17:19

The Match

Match Report

Cherries boss Jonathan Woodgate was victorious against former club Boro.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Middlesbrough
41.9%	26.78%	31.33%

Both teams to score 50.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.72%

54.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.32%

75.68%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.41%

25.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.54%

60.46%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04%

31.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59%

68.41%

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 41.89%

Middlesbrough 31.33%

Draw 26.77%

Bournemouth	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.89%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 9.33% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.33%