Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 1
Middlesbrough

Rea (19')
Rea (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Watmore (21')

Reaction

Luton Town manager Nathan Jones pictured on April 21, 2021

Nathan Jones admits "missed opportunities" have cost Luton this season

James Collins missed a second-half penalty.

May 1, 17:14

The Match

Match Report

Boro were only behind for just two minutes.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Middlesbrough
29.77%	27.42%	42.81%

Both teams to score 48.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.77%

57.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.92%

78.08%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.37%

34.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.64%

71.35%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.54%

26.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.36%

61.63%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 29.77%

Middlesbrough 42.81%

Draw 27.41%

Luton Town	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.2% Total : 29.77%	1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.41%	0-1 @ 12.18% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 8.1% 1-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.81%

How you voted: Luton vs Middlesbrough

Luton Town

51.7%

Draw

31.0%

Middlesbrough

17.2%