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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
29.77% | 27.42% | 42.81% |
Both teams to score 48.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.77% | 57.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.92% | 78.08% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.37% | 34.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.64% | 71.35% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.54% | 26.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.36% | 61.63% |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.2% Total : 29.77% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 12.18% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 8.1% 1-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
> Championship Full Table |