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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 41.21% | 28.1% | 30.68% |
| Both teams to score 46.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.61% | 59.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.22% | 79.77% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% | 28.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.93% | 64.07% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.9% | 35.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.15% | 71.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 12.54% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.72% Total : 41.21% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.95% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.13% Total : 30.68% |