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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 36.2% | 27.46% | 36.35% |
| Both teams to score 49.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.82% | 56.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.77% | 77.23% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% | 29.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.23% | 65.77% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% | 29.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.34% | 65.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.2% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.8% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 6.51% 1-3 @ 3.21% 0-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.34% |