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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
31.18% | 28.76% | 40.06% |
Both teams to score 44.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.49% | 61.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.63% | 81.37% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.13% | 35.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.35% | 72.64% |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.97% | 30.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.85% | 66.15% |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 6.81% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-0 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 2% Total : 31.18% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 12.95% 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-2 @ 7.8% 1-3 @ 3.21% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 1.64% 1-4 @ 0.96% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.44% Total : 40.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
> Championship Full Table |