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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Luton Town |
| 40.41% | 26.34% | 33.25% |
| Both teams to score 52.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.26% | 73.73% |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.67% | 25.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.89% | 60.11% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.49% | 29.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.48% | 65.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.41% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.12% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.25% |