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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (12.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Luton Town |
| 38.43% | 30.2% | 31.37% |
| Both teams to score 41.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.99% | 66.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.41% | 84.59% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.68% | 33.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.06% | 69.94% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.8% | 38.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.04% | 74.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.98% 2-0 @ 7.69% 2-1 @ 7.4% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.43% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.72% 2-2 @ 3.56% Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.19% | 0-1 @ 12.24% 1-2 @ 6.48% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.64% Total : 31.36% |