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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Swansea City |
| 28.6% | 27.85% | 43.55% |
| Both teams to score 46.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.76% | 59.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.34% | 79.66% |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.37% | 36.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.59% | 73.41% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% | 27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.64% | 62.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 6.53% 2-0 @ 4.99% 3-1 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.85% Total : 28.6% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.89% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 12.94% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 8.48% 1-3 @ 3.72% 0-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.91% Total : 43.54% |