Championship

Championship | Gameweek 4

Aug 20, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Ashton Gate

Bristol City
0 - 1
Swansea

Simpson (36'), Weimann (58'), Atkinson (76'), Semenyo (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Piroe (19')
Fulton (17'), Piroe (35'), Manning (47'), Bidwell (57'), Latibeaudiere (67'), Grimes (90')

Reaction

MK Dons manager Russell Martin reacts on July 31, 2021

Joel Piroe earns Russell Martin praise after Swansea winner at Bristol City

The goal gave Russell Martin his first league win as Swansea boss.

Aug 20, 22:12

The Match

Match Report

Nigel Pearson's side have not won at home since January.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 44.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.08%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-0 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Swansea City
26.73%	28.51%	44.76%

Both teams to score 43.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.73%

62.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.06%

81.93%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.14%

39.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.48%

76.52%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.2%

27.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.62%

63.38%

Score Analysis

Bristol City 26.73%

Swansea City 44.76%

Draw 28.49%

Bristol City	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 6% 2-0 @ 4.69% 3-1 @ 1.84% 3-0 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.39% Total : 26.73%	1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.49%	0-1 @ 14.18% 0-2 @ 9.08% 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-3 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.24% 1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.69% Total : 44.76%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Swansea

Bristol City

56.3%

Draw

19.6%

Swansea City

24.1%