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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Bristol City |
| 42.02% | 28.9% | 29.07% |
| Both teams to score 43.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.43% | 62.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.84% | 82.15% |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.57% | 29.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.57% | 65.43% |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.92% | 38.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.16% | 74.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 13.7% 2-0 @ 8.38% 2-1 @ 8.09% 3-0 @ 3.42% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.48% Total : 42.02% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.89% | 0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 5.22% 1-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.64% Total : 29.07% |