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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 31.1% | 27.91% | 40.98% |
| Both teams to score 47.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.4% | 58.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.84% | 79.16% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.63% | 34.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.93% | 71.07% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% | 28.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.25% | 63.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.27% Total : 31.09% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.65% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 12.25% 1-2 @ 8.31% 0-2 @ 7.78% 1-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.78% Total : 40.98% |