Championship

Championship | Gameweek 46

May 8, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
1 - 3
Brentford

Britton (87')
Palmer (27'), Simpson (54'), Baker (60'), Britton (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Toney (57'), Mbeumo (78'), Canos (83')
Toney (30')

Reaction

Brentford manager Thomas Frank pictured on March 3, 2021

Thomas Frank "so delighted" for "humble" Ivan Toney

Ivan Toney's goal at Ashton Gate was his 31st of the season in the Championship.

May 8, 15:53

The Match

Match Report

Bryan Mbeumo and Sergi Canos were also on the scoresheet for the Bees before Louis Britton struck a late consolation for Bristol City

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 16.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.48%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-0 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Brentford
16.57%	24.34%	59.09%

Both teams to score 42.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.53%

57.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.73%

78.27%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.17%

47.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.89%

83.11%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.67%

19.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.9%

51.1%

Score Analysis

Bristol City 16.57%

Brentford 59.07%

Draw 24.34%

Bristol City	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 6.82% 2-1 @ 4.13% 2-0 @ 2.51% 3-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.09% Total : 16.57%	1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 9.25% 2-2 @ 3.4% Other @ 0.49% Total : 24.34%	0-1 @ 15.19% 0-2 @ 12.48% 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-3 @ 6.84% 1-3 @ 5.05% 0-4 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.64% Total : 59.07%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Brentford

Bristol City

22.6%

Draw

16.1%

Brentford

61.3%