Championship

May 29, 2021 at 3pm UK

Wembley Stadium

Brentford
2 - 0
Swansea

Toney (10' pen.), Marcondes (20')
Marcondes (22'), Janelt (70')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Grimes (6')
Fulton (65')

Reaction

Brentford manager Thomas Frank on May 22, 2021

Thomas Frank: 'We can inspire lower-league clubs'

The 2-0 Wembley win over Swansea was their first successful play-off campaign at the 10th attempt.

May 30, 09:51

Thomas Frank "very emotional" after leading Brentford to Premier League

Goals from Ivan Toney and Emiliano Marcondes saw Brentford return to the top flight for the first time since 1947.

May 29, 18:27

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Ivan Toney and Emiliano Marcondes saw the Bees finally break their play-off hoodoo.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Brentford and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Swansea City
49.85%	26.65%	23.5%

Both teams to score 45.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.93%

58.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.25%

78.75%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.59%

23.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.6%

57.4%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.58%

40.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.96%

77.04%

Score Analysis

Brentford 49.85%

Swansea City 23.5%

Draw 26.64%

Brentford	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 13.74% 2-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.57% Total : 49.85%	1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 9.46% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 8.57% 1-2 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.3% Total : 23.5%

How you voted: Brentford vs Swansea

Brentford

66.5%

Draw

9.3%

Swansea City

24.2%