Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK

Griffin Park

Brentford
2 - 0
Watford

Forss (46'), Toney (60' pen.)
Bidstrup (66'), Canos (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Perica (89')

Reaction

Brentford manager Thomas Frank pictured on March 3, 2021

Thomas Frank pays tribute to Ivan Toney after 30th goal of season

The Bees guaranteed a third-placed finish for the second season running with the victory over already-promoted Watford.

May 1, 17:17

The Match

Match Report

The Bees guaranteed a third-placed finish with the victory against the already-promoted Hornets.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Brentford and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Watford
44.88%	26.86%	28.26%

Both teams to score 48.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.18%

55.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.05%

76.94%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.23%

24.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.66%

59.33%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.96%

35.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.21%

71.79%

Score Analysis

Brentford 44.87%

Watford 28.26%

Draw 26.86%

Brentford	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 12.11% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.87%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 9.1% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.77% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.11% Total : 28.26%

How you voted: Brentford vs Watford

Brentford

31.2%

Draw

32.3%

Watford

36.6%