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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 24% | 27.81% | 48.18% |
| Both teams to score 43.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.41% | 61.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.56% | 81.43% |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.05% | 41.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.61% | 78.39% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.25% | 25.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.31% | 60.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 5.53% 2-0 @ 4.08% 3-1 @ 1.6% 3-0 @ 1.18% 3-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.15% Total : 24% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 14.65% 0-2 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-3 @ 4.5% 1-3 @ 3.91% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.53% 1-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2% Total : 48.17% |