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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 34.33% | 27.46% | 38.2% |
| Both teams to score 49.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.69% | 56.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.66% | 77.34% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% | 30.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.74% | 67.26% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.43% | 28.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.63% | 64.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 7.62% 2-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.33% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 11.08% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 6.94% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.06% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.2% |