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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 37.12% | 28.56% | 34.33% |
| Both teams to score 46.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.68% | 60.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.51% | 80.48% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% | 31.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.45% | 67.55% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.99% | 33.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.4% | 69.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% 2-1 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 3.01% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.01% Total : 37.11% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 11.41% 1-2 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.32% |