EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 10, 2021 at 7pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
3 - 2
Sutton

Watkins (44', 50'), Murphy (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wilson (4'), Rowe (90')
Milsom (21'), Eastmond (55')

Reaction

Cardiff City manager Mick McCarthy pictured on February 16, 2021

Mick McCarthy says short-term signing Marley Watkins has 'done himself no harm'

Watkins' brace came either side of half-time and helped Cardiff turn the tables after they fell behind to the League Two new boys.

Aug 10, 21:08

The Match

Match Report

Marley Watkins scores debut double as Cardiff edge thriller against Sutton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Cardiff City and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Sutton United
44.37%	25.2%	30.43%

Both teams to score 55.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.86%

48.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.7%

70.3%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.31%

21.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.16%

54.84%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.54%

29.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.54%

65.46%

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 44.37%

Sutton United 30.43%

Draw 25.2%

Cardiff City	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 9.12% 2-0 @ 7.46% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.37%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.39% 2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 7.81% 1-2 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 4.77% 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.43%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Sutton

Cardiff City

72.7%

Draw

13.6%

Sutton United