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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Reading |
| 39.62% | 28.54% | 31.83% |
| Both teams to score 45.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.37% | 60.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.29% | 80.71% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% | 29.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.07% | 65.93% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.09% | 34.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.35% | 71.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 12.59% 2-1 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 7.62% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 0.98% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.49% Total : 39.62% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.52% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.17% Total : 31.83% |