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EFL Cup
Stoke logo
EFL Cup | Last 16
Oct 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Brentford logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Brentford

Sawyers (57')
Skiri Oestigaard (52')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Canos (22'), Toney (40')
Ghoddos (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Stoke City and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBrentford
32.74%27.91%39.36%
Both teams to score 47.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8%58.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16%78.84%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01%32.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43%69.58%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19%28.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33%64.67%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 32.74%
    Brentford 39.35%
    Draw 27.9%
Stoke CityDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 5.85%
3-1 @ 2.69%
3-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.74%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 11.82%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 1.05%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 39.35%

How you voted: Stoke vs Brentford

Stoke City
18.5%
Draw
18.5%
Brentford
63.0%
173
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Brentford
2-1
Stoke
Janelt (56'), Toney (79')
Dasilva (18')
Brown (1')
Thompson (25'), Norrington-Davies (35'), Allen (68')
> Match Report
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
3-2
Brentford
Fletcher (9'), McClean (35'), Campbell (59')
Fletcher (81'), Oakley-Boothe (88')
Forss (70', 90+1')
Toney (40')
> Match Report
Jul 18, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 45
Stoke
1-0
Brentford
> Match Report
Jan 4, 2020 3.01pm
Third Round
Brentford
1-0
Stoke
Marcondes (43')
Daniels (90')

Campbell (43')
> Match Report
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Brentford
0-0
Stoke
Benrahma (79')
Gregory (22'), McClean (82')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205
> Premier League Full Table


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