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EFL Cup

Stoke logo
EFL Cup | Last 16
Oct 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Brentford logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Brentford

Sawyers (57')
Skiri Oestigaard (52')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Canos (22'), Toney (40')
Ghoddos (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Stoke City and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBrentford
32.74%27.91%39.36%
Both teams to score 47.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8%58.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16%78.84%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01%32.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43%69.58%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19%28.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33%64.67%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 32.74%
    Brentford 39.35%
    Draw 27.9%
Stoke CityDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 5.85%
3-1 @ 2.69%
3-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.74%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 11.82%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 1.05%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 39.35%

How you voted: Stoke vs Brentford

Stoke City
18.5%
Draw
18.5%
Brentford
63.0%
173