Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 8

Oct 16, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
0 - 1
Chelsea

Canos (32')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Chilwell (45')
Kovacic (18')

Reaction

Chelsea defender Trevoh Chalobah clearing the ball against Brentford on October 16, 2021

Dermot Gallagher dismisses Brentford claims against Chalobah in Chelsea fixture

Former Premier League referee Dermot Gallagher dismisses Brentford's calls for punishment against Chelsea defender Trevoh Chalobah during Saturday's Premier League game.

Oct 18, 11:11

Chelsea manager Thomas Tuchel reacts on October 16, 2021

Thomas Tuchel admits Chelsea were lucky to beat Brentford

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel admits that his side were fortunate to see off Brentford by a 1-0 scoreline in their Premier League fixture on Saturday evening.

Oct 16, 19:19

Chelsea defender Malang Sarr on his Premier League debut against Brentford on October 16, 2021

How did Chelsea defender Malang Sarr perform on his Premier League debut?

Malang Sarr finally made his Premier League debut for Chelsea against Brentford, but how did the defender perform after a 416-day wait?

Oct 16, 18:53

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chelsea in this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Chelsea
22.67%	24.39%	52.94%

Both teams to score 51.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.65%

50.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.71%

72.29%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.13%

36.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.34%

73.66%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.03%

18.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.49%

50.51%

Score Analysis

Brentford 22.67%

Chelsea 52.93%

Draw 24.39%

Brentford	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 6.98% 2-1 @ 5.79% 2-0 @ 3.48% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.6% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.74% Total : 22.67%	1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.39%	0-1 @ 11.62% 0-2 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-3 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 5.34% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-4 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 2.22% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.93%