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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bournemouth in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 28.65% | 27.85% | 43.49% |
| Both teams to score 46.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.76% | 59.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.35% | 79.65% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.42% | 36.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.64% | 73.37% |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% | 27.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.61% | 62.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 6.54% 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.86% Total : 28.65% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.89% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 12.93% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 8.46% 1-3 @ 3.71% 0-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.91% Total : 43.49% |