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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Bournemouth logo

Luton
3 - 2
Bournemouth

Kelly (30' og.), Campbell (42'), Naismith (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Marcondes (51'), Rogers (78')
Lerma (81'), Christie (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Luton Town 0-2 Bournemouth

Bournemouth will be keen to prove that they are fully over their mid-season blip and we think that the Cherries will be victorious here. Luton returned to action with a confidence-boosting win over fourth tier opposition last weekend but this is a different challenge entirely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 46.02%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawBournemouth
26.94%27.04%46.02%
Both teams to score 47.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.83%57.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97%78.03%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15%36.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36%73.64%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19%24.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.61%59.39%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 26.94%
    Bournemouth 46.02%
    Draw 27.04%
Luton TownDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 9.13%
2-1 @ 6.35%
2-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 2.11%
3-0 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 26.94%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.14%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 12.74%
0-2 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-3 @ 4.13%
1-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-4 @ 1.44%
1-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 46.02%

How you voted: Luton vs Bournemouth

Luton Town
21.1%
Draw
10.5%
Bournemouth
68.4%
57
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bournemouth
2-1
Luton
Billing (17'), Solanke (31')
Pearson (49'), Lowe (90+2')
Burke (64')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Bournemouth
0-1
Luton

Billing (90+3')
Lerma (26')
Dewsbury-Hall (67')
Pearson (90+2'), Hylton (90+6')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Jan 4, 2020 5.31pm
Third Round
Bournemouth
4-0
Luton
Billing (8', 79'), Wilson (67'), Solanke (82')
Billing (41')

Jones (41')
Jan 27, 2009 3pm
Bournemouth
1-1
Luton
Hollands (29')
Pearce (71'), Cooper (81')
Hollands (11' og.)
Nicholls (27'), Hall (43'), Roper (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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