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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 55.55% | 23.93% | 20.52% |
| Both teams to score 49.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.15% | 50.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.27% | 72.73% |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.83% | 18.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.85% | 49.15% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.71% | 39.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24% | 76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% 2-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 5.9% 3-1 @ 5.52% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.33% Total : 55.54% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.67% 1-2 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 3.11% 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.39% Total : 20.52% |