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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 32.61% | 27.28% | 40.11% |
| Both teams to score 49.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.12% | 55.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23% | 76.99% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.11% | 31.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.67% | 68.33% |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.72% | 27.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.28% | 62.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% 2-1 @ 7.38% 2-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.61% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.7% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 11.3% 1-2 @ 8.39% 0-2 @ 7.34% 1-3 @ 3.63% 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.11% |