Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.