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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 38.32% | 26.99% | 34.69% |
| Both teams to score 50.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.57% | 54.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.2% | 75.8% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% | 27.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.86% | 63.14% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% | 29.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.14% | 65.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.25% 2-0 @ 6.81% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.31% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 6.03% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.69% |