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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.44%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (12.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 33.94% | 29.44% | 36.62% |
| Both teams to score 43.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.65% | 63.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.28% | 82.72% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.13% | 34.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.39% | 71.61% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.92% | 33.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.33% | 69.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% 2-1 @ 7.08% 2-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.19% Total : 33.94% | 1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.53% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.43% | 0-1 @ 12.76% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 7.06% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.62% |