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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
St Andrew's
Cardiff City logo

Birmingham
2 - 2
Cardiff

Deeney (29'), Sunjic (45+1')
Sunjic (63'), Friend (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Moore (66'), McGuinness (90+1')
Nelson (16'), Ralls (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.44%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (12.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
33.94%29.44%36.62%
Both teams to score 43.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.65%63.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.28%82.72%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.13%34.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.39%71.61%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.92%33.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.33%69.67%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 33.94%
    Cardiff City 36.62%
    Draw 29.43%
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.15%
2-1 @ 7.08%
2-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 2.49%
3-0 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 33.94%
1-1 @ 13.44%
0-0 @ 11.53%
2-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.43%
0-1 @ 12.76%
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 7.06%
1-3 @ 2.74%
0-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.62%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Cardiff

Birmingham City
48.9%
Draw
28.9%
Cardiff City
22.2%
45