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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.96%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Reading |
| 43.96% | 29.63% | 26.41% |
| Both teams to score 40.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.2% | 65.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.55% | 84.44% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% | 29.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.93% | 66.07% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.84% | 42.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.42% | 78.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 15.22% 2-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 7.93% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.32% Total : 43.95% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 12.63% 2-2 @ 3.42% Other @ 0.42% Total : 29.62% | 0-1 @ 10.9% 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.14% Total : 26.4% |