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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Barnsley |
| 35.24% | 27.23% | 37.53% |
| Both teams to score 50.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.68% | 55.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.46% | 76.53% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.12% | 29.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.02% | 65.97% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% | 28.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.74% | 64.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.24% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 10.68% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.52% |