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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Barnsley |
| 41.57% | 27.46% | 30.96% |
| Both teams to score 48.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.99% | 57.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.1% | 77.9% |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% | 27.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.63% | 62.37% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.37% | 33.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.72% | 70.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 11.89% 2-1 @ 8.48% 2-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.57% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.09% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 5.39% 1-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.41% Total : 30.96% |