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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Reading had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 30.95% | 27.13% | 41.92% |
| Both teams to score 49.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.25% | 55.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.11% | 76.88% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% | 32.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.43% | 69.56% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% | 26.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.65% | 61.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 9.6% 2-1 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.95% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.66% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 11.57% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 7.75% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 3.45% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.16% Total : 41.91% |