Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.65%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.49%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
