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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 37.75% | 26.84% | 35.41% |
| Both teams to score 51.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.23% | 53.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.75% | 75.24% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% | 27.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.84% | 63.15% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.98% | 29.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.08% | 64.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2% Total : 37.74% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 5.08% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 7.89% 0-2 @ 6.14% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.41% |