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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 25.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.22%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 25.96% | 27.27% | 46.76% |
| Both teams to score 46.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.45% | 58.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.88% | 79.12% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.56% | 38.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.81% | 75.19% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.94% | 25.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.26% | 59.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 9.21% 2-1 @ 6.09% 2-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.4% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.57% Total : 25.96% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 9.63% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 13.33% 0-2 @ 9.22% 1-2 @ 8.82% 0-3 @ 4.26% 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.47% 1-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.76% |