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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Bristol City |
| 39.39% | 28.65% | 31.95% |
| Both teams to score 45.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.01% | 60.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.02% | 80.98% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% | 30.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.69% | 66.31% |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.98% | 35.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.24% | 71.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 12.65% 2-1 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 7.59% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 0.95% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.44% Total : 39.38% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.65% | 0-1 @ 11.08% 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.15% Total : 31.95% |