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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 47.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 47.68% | 27.87% | 24.44% |
| Both teams to score 43.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.5% | 61.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.63% | 81.36% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.04% | 25.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.04% | 60.96% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.52% | 41.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.02% | 77.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 14.52% 2-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 8.62% 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.97% Total : 47.68% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 9.47% 1-2 @ 5.62% 0-2 @ 4.17% 1-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.2% Total : 24.44% |