Championship Gameweek 21
Millwall
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Birmingham
  • Murray Wallace 10' goal
  • Tom Bradshaw 41' goal
  • George Evans 74' goal
  • yellowcard Kristian Pedersen 20'
  • yellowcard Marc Roberts 50'
  • goal Troy Deeney 56'

Millwall vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
Hull City 2 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Benik Afobe

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 27, 2021 3.00pm
Birmingham 1 - 0 Blackpool
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Scott Hogan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 42.88%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result

Millwall 42.88%
Draw 29.18%
Birmingham City 27.94%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.45%

Goals

Over 2.5 36.15%
Under 2.5 63.85%
Over 3.5 16.92%
Under 3.5 83.08%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 70.41%
Under 0.5 29.58%
Over 1.5 34.38%
Under 1.5 65.62%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 60.28%
Under 0.5 39.72%
Over 1.5 23.61%
Under 1.5 76.39%

Score analysis

Millwall 42.88%
Draw 29.17%
Birmingham City 27.94%
Millwall
1-0 @ 14.31%
2-0 @ 8.72%
2-1 @ 8.05%
3-0 @ 3.54%
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 11.75%
2-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.17%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 10.85%
1-2 @ 6.1%
0-2 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 27.94%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 30
Millwall
Feb 17, 2021 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
Birmingham
  • Jed Wallace 3' goal
  • Ben Thompson 75' goal
  • Mahlon Romeo 78' yellowcard
  • Ryan Woods 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rekeem Harper 53'
  • yellowcard Lukas Jutkiewicz 70'
Championship Gameweek 14
Birmingham
Nov 28, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Millwall
  • Jonathan Leko 28' yellowcard
  • Ivan Sunjic 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jed Wallace 21'
Championship Gameweek 35
Millwall
Feb 26, 2020 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
Birmingham
  • Mahlon Romeo 80' yellowcard
Championship Gameweek 19
Birmingham
Nov 30, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Millwall
  • Jake Clarke-Salter 79' goal
  • goal Shaun Williams 61'
Championship Gameweek 37
Birmingham
Mar 13, 2019 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)
Millwall
  • Isaac Vassell 4' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Thompson 13'
  • goal Ben Thompson 32'
  • yellowcard Ben Marshall 61'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 65'
Championship Gameweek 19
Millwall
Nov 28, 2018 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Den (London)
Birmingham
  • Ryan Leonard 22' yellowcard
  • Ryan Leonard 30' redcard
  • Mahlon Romeo 90' yellowcard
  • goal James Meredith 11' (OG)
  • yellowcard Gary Gardner 59'
  • goal Michael Morrison 76'
  • yellowcard Craig Gardner 90'

Form Data

Hull City 2 - 1 Millwall
Millwall 1 - 1 Bournemouth
Middlesbrough 1 - 1 Millwall
Millwall 1 - 1 Derby
Millwall 1 - 0 Reading
Huddersfield 1 - 0 Millwall
Birmingham 1 - 0 Blackpool
Coventry 0 - 0 Birmingham
Hull City 2 - 0 Birmingham
Birmingham 1 - 2 Reading
Birmingham 3 - 0 Bristol City
Middlesbrough 0 - 2 Birmingham