Championship Gameweek 17
Millwall
Nov 6, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Derby
  • Scott Malone 45'+1' goal
  • Billy Mitchell 58' yellowcard
  • Jake Cooper 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 27'
  • goal Festy Ebosele 44'
  • redcard Nathan Byrne 64'

Millwall vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Millwall 1 - 0 Reading
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Benik Afobe

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Nov 3, 2021 7.45pm
Barnsley 2 - 1 Derby
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Tom Lawrence

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 45.68%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Millwall 45.68%
Draw 28.03%
Derby County 26.29%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.37%

Goals

Over 2.5 39.08%
Under 2.5 60.92%
Over 3.5 19.06%
Under 3.5 80.93%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 73.31%
Under 0.5 26.69%
Over 1.5 38.06%
Under 1.5 61.94%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 60.52%
Under 0.5 39.48%
Over 1.5 23.83%
Under 1.5 76.17%

Score analysis

Millwall 45.67%
Draw 28.02%
Derby County 26.29%
Millwall
1-0 @ 13.91%
2-0 @ 9.19%
2-1 @ 8.54%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 45.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.02%
Derby County
0-1 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 6.01%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 26.29%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 36
Derby
Mar 13, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
Millwall
  • Graeme Shinnie 84' yellowcard
  • goal Shaun Hutchinson 45'
  • yellowcard George Evans 58'
Championship Gameweek 16
Millwall
Dec 5, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
Derby
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 34'
  • yellowcard Krystian Bielik 58'
  • goal Jason Knight 69'
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 85'
  • yellowcard Colin Kazim-Richards 86'
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 87'
Championship Gameweek 38
Millwall
Jun 20, 2020 1.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Den
Derby
  • Matt Smith 15' goal
  • Connor Mahoney 90'+3' goal
  • goal Louie Sibley 26'
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 38'
  • goal Louie Sibley 71'
  • yellowcard Louie Sibley 89'
  • goal Louie Sibley 90'
Championship Gameweek 22
Derby
Dec 14, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Millwall
  • Chris Martin 57' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Bradshaw 25'
  • yellowcard Mahlon Romeo 92'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 92'
Championship Gameweek 29
Derby
Feb 20, 2019 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
Millwall
  • Tom Huddlestone 42' yellowcard
  • Richard Keogh 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Marshall 43'
  • goal Jed Wallace 72'
  • yellowcard Shaun Williams 87'
  • yellowcard Tom Elliott 96'
Championship Gameweek 3
Millwall
Aug 18, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Den (London)
Derby
  • Jake Cooper 7' goal
  • Shaun Williams 20' goal
  • Jake Cooper 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Nugent 72'
  • goal David Nugent 73'

Form Data

Millwall 1 - 0 Reading
Huddersfield 1 - 0 Millwall
Millwall 2 - 1 Stoke
Sheff Utd 1 - 2 Millwall
Millwall 0 - 2 Luton
Barnsley 0 - 1 Millwall
Barnsley 2 - 1 Derby
Derby 1 - 2 Blackburn
Coventry 1 - 1 Derby
Derby 2 - 2 Luton
Preston 0 - 0 Derby
Derby 0 - 0 Swansea