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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Den
Derby logo

Millwall
1 - 1
Derby

Malone (45+1')
Mitchell (58'), Cooper (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ebosele (44')
Byrne (27')
Byrne (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 45.68%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawDerby County
45.68%28.03%26.29%
Both teams to score 44.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.08%60.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.06%80.93%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31%26.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06%61.94%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52%39.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83%76.17%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 45.67%
    Derby County 26.29%
    Draw 28.02%
MillwallDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 13.91%
2-0 @ 9.19%
2-1 @ 8.54%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 45.67%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 6.01%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 26.29%

How you voted: Millwall vs Derby

Millwall
68.8%
Draw
16.7%
Derby County
14.6%
48
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Shinnie (84')
Hutchinson (45')
Evans (58')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
0-1
Derby
Knight (69')
Shinnie (34'), Bielik (58'), Waghorn (85'), Kazim-Richards (86'), Byrne (87')
Jun 20, 2020 1pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Martin (57')
Bradshaw (25')
Romeo (92'), Cooper (92')
Feb 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Huddlestone (42'), Keogh (63')
Wallace (72')
Marshall (43'), Williams (87'), Elliott (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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