Championship

Championship | Gameweek 17

Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 1
Derby

Malone (45+1')
Mitchell (58'), Cooper (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ebosele (44')
Byrne (27')
Byrne (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 45.68%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Derby County
45.68%	28.03%	26.29%

Both teams to score 44.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.08%

60.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.06%

80.93%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.31%

26.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.06%

61.94%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.52%

39.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.83%

76.17%

Score Analysis

Millwall 45.67%

Derby County 26.29%

Draw 28.02%

Millwall	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 13.91% 2-0 @ 9.19% 2-1 @ 8.54% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.89% Total : 45.67%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.02%	0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 6.01% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.44% Total : 26.29%

How you voted: Millwall vs Derby

Millwall

68.8%

Draw

16.7%

Derby County

14.6%