Championship

Championship | Gameweek 15

Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK

Pride Park

Derby
1 - 2
Blackburn

Davies (89')
Shinnie (29'), Lawrence (50')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Brereton Diaz (8', 20')
Lenihan (59'), Buckley (85'), Khadra (88'), Poveda (89'), Travis (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Blackburn Rovers
32.95%	29.27%	37.78%

Both teams to score 43.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.1%

62.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.6%

82.39%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.67%

35.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.91%

72.08%

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.89%

32.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.42%

68.58%

Score Analysis

Derby County 32.94%

Blackburn Rovers 37.77%

Draw 29.26%

Derby County	Draw	Blackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 11.8% 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.1% Total : 32.94%	1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.26%	0-1 @ 12.88% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.8% Total : 37.77%

How you voted: Derby vs Blackburn

Derby County

40.0%

Draw

17.1%

Blackburn Rovers

42.9%