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Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park
Blackburn logo

Derby
1 - 2
Blackburn

Davies (89')
Shinnie (29'), Lawrence (50')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Brereton Diaz (8', 20')
Lenihan (59'), Buckley (85'), Khadra (88'), Poveda (89'), Travis (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBlackburn Rovers
32.95%29.27%37.78%
Both teams to score 43.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.1%62.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.6%82.39%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67%35.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91%72.08%
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89%32.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42%68.58%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 32.94%
    Blackburn Rovers 37.77%
    Draw 29.26%
Derby CountyDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 11.8%
2-1 @ 6.98%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 32.94%
1-1 @ 13.4%
0-0 @ 11.34%
2-2 @ 3.96%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.26%
0-1 @ 12.88%
1-2 @ 7.62%
0-2 @ 7.32%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 37.77%

How you voted: Derby vs Blackburn

Derby County
40.0%
Draw
17.1%
Blackburn Rovers
42.9%
70
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 42
Blackburn
2-1
Derby
Gallagher (42'), Elliott (66')
Holtby (32'), Elliott (67')
Lawrence (22')
Clarke (45+1')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
0-4
Blackburn

Buchanan (33'), Rooney (80')
Dolan (11'), Johnson (12', 15'), Armstrong (78')
Johnson (36'), Lenihan (42'), Rothwell (66')
Mar 8, 2020 3pm
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Blackburn
1-0
Derby
Armstrong (57')
Evans (62')

Lawrence (18')
Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 41
Blackburn
2-0
Derby
Rothwell (76'), Dack (92')
Bennett (51'), Travis (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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