Championship Gameweek 13
Derby
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Luton
  • Tom Lawrence 20' goal
  • Jason Knight 60' goal
  • Tom Lawrence 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kal Naismith 14'
  • goal Fred Onyedinma 49'
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 84'
  • yellowcard Pelly Ruddock 90'+2'

Derby County vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
Preston 0 - 0 Derby
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Tom Lawrence

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
Millwall 0 - 2 Luton
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Elijah Adebayo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result

Derby County 30.81%
Draw 28.8%
Luton Town 40.39%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.65%

Goals

Over 2.5 38.26%
Under 2.5 61.73%
Over 3.5 18.46%
Under 3.5 81.54%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 63.73%
Under 0.5 36.26%
Over 1.5 26.95%
Under 1.5 73.05%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 70.05%
Under 0.5 29.95%
Over 1.5 33.94%
Under 1.5 66.05%

Score analysis

Derby County 30.8%
Draw 28.8%
Luton Town 40.38%
Derby County
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 6.74%
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.89%
3-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 30.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.8%
Luton Town
0-1 @ 13.09%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 7.89%
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 40.38%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 39
Derby
Apr 2, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Luton
  • Lee Gregory 7' goal
  • Andre Wisdom 47' yellowcard
  • Graeme Shinnie 49' goal
  • Louie Sibley 51' yellowcard
  • Nathan Byrne 66' yellowcard
  • Colin Kazim-Richards 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 66'
  • yellowcard Matty Pearson 81'
Championship Gameweek 2
Luton
Sep 19, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Derby
  • Rhys Norrington-Davies 22' yellowcard
  • Luke Berry 34' goal
  • Jordan Clark 87' goal
  • Pelly Ruddock 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Marriott 52'
Championship Gameweek 29
Luton
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road
Derby
  • Pelly Ruddock 67' goal
  • Pelly Ruddock 70' yellowcard
  • Donervon Daniels 74' goal
  • Jayden Bogle 86' goal
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 23'
  • goal Wayne Mark Rooney 63'
  • goal Chris Martin 85'
  • yellowcard Ben Hamer 88'
  • yellowcard Wayne Rooney 88'
  • redcard Max Lowe 88'
  • yellowcard Andre Wisdom 94'
Championship Gameweek 11
Derby
Oct 5, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Luton
  • Matty Pearson 11' goal
  • Tom Lawrence 70' goal
  • Graeme Shinnie 76' yellowcard
Championship
Derby
Apr 20, 2007 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Luton
  • Lewin Nyatanga 37' goal
Championship
Luton
Nov 18, 2006 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Derby
  • Rowan Vine 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Seth Johnson 57'
  • goal Jon Stead 72'
  • goal Steve Howard 75'

Form Data

Preston 0 - 0 Derby
Derby 0 - 0 Swansea
Derby 1 - 0 Reading
Sheff Utd 1 - 0 Derby
Derby 2 - 1 Stoke
West Brom 0 - 0 Derby
Millwall 0 - 2 Luton
Luton 0 - 0 Huddersfield
Luton 5 - 0 Coventry
Bournemouth 2 - 1 Luton
Luton 3 - 3 Swansea
Bristol City 1 - 1 Luton