Championship

Championship | Gameweek 13

Oct 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park

Derby
2 - 2
Luton

Lawrence (20'), Knight (60')
Lawrence (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Onyedinma (49'), Adebayo (84')
Naismith (14'), Ruddock (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Luton Town
30.81%	28.8%	40.39%

Both teams to score 44.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.26%

61.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.46%

81.54%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.73%

36.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.95%

73.05%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.05%

29.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.94%

66.05%

Score Analysis

Derby County 30.8%

Luton Town 40.38%

Draw 28.8%

Derby County	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.93% Total : 30.8%	1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.8%	0-1 @ 13.09% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 7.89% 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 1.63% 1-4 @ 0.97% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.44% Total : 40.38%

How you voted: Derby vs Luton

Derby County

35.3%

Draw

30.6%

Luton Town

34.1%