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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park
Luton Town

Derby
2 - 2
Luton

Lawrence (20'), Knight (60')
Lawrence (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Onyedinma (49'), Adebayo (84')
Naismith (14'), Ruddock (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawLuton Town
30.81%28.8%40.39%
Both teams to score 44.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.26%61.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.46%81.54%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73%36.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95%73.05%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05%29.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.94%66.05%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 30.8%
    Luton Town 40.38%
    Draw 28.8%
Derby CountyDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 6.74%
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.89%
3-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 30.8%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.8%
0-1 @ 13.09%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 7.89%
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 1.63%
1-4 @ 0.97%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 40.38%

How you voted: Derby vs Luton

Derby County
35.3%
Draw
30.6%
Luton Town
34.1%
85
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Derby
2-0
Luton
Gregory (7'), Shinnie (49' pen.)
Wisdom (47'), Sibley (51'), Byrne (66'), Kazim-Richards (90+5')

Dewsbury-Hall (66'), Pearson (81')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Luton
2-1
Derby
Berry (34'), Clark (87')
Norrington-Davies (22'), Ruddock (90+4')
Marriott (52')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Luton
3-2
Derby
Ruddock (67'), Daniels (74'), Bogle (86' og.)
Ruddock (70')
Mark Rooney (63'), Martin (85')
Bogle (23'), Hamer (88'), Rooney (88'), Wisdom (94')
Lowe (88')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Derby
2-0
Luton
Pearson (11' og.), Lawrence (70')
Shinnie (76')
Apr 20, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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