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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 35.62%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.38%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Coventry City |
| 35.17% | 29.21% | 35.62% |
| Both teams to score 44.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.46% | 62.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.87% | 82.13% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% | 33.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.75% | 70.25% |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.7% | 33.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.08% | 69.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 6.65% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.45% Total : 35.16% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.2% | 0-1 @ 12.3% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 6.77% 1-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.52% Total : 35.62% |