Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daniel Johnson 5' yellowcard
  • Jordan Storey 62' yellowcard

Preston North End vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

All competitions
Last game
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
QPR 3 - 2 Preston
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Emil Riis Jakobsen

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
Derby 0 - 0 Swansea
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Tom Lawrence

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result

Preston North End 44.28%
Draw 27.82%
Derby County 27.89%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.94%

Goals

Over 2.5 40.54%
Under 2.5 59.46%
Over 3.5 20.18%
Under 3.5 79.82%

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5 73.28%
Under 0.5 26.72%
Over 1.5 38.01%
Under 1.5 61.98%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 62.69%
Under 0.5 37.31%
Over 1.5 25.9%
Under 1.5 74.09%

Score analysis

Preston North End 44.28%
Draw 27.82%
Derby County 27.89%
Preston North End
1-0 @ 13.15%
2-0 @ 8.68%
2-1 @ 8.56%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 1.86%
4-0 @ 1.26%
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 44.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.97%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.82%
Derby County
0-1 @ 9.83%
1-2 @ 6.39%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 27.89%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 20, 2021 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Deepdale
  • Ben Whiteman 18' goal
  • Ched Evans 73' goal
  • Ryan Ledson 87' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 86'
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 26, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Martyn Waghorn 20' redcard
  • yellowcard Darnell Fisher 43'
  • goal Alan Browne 90'+5'
EFL Cup
Sep 15, 2020 6.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Lee Buchanan 27' yellowcard
  • Jason Knight 51' goal
  • Mike te Wierik 55' redcard
  • Graeme Shinnie 65' yellowcard
  • George Evans 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Huntington 59'
  • yellowcard Alan Browne 73'
  • yellowcard Darnell Fisher 75'
  • goal Tom Barkhuizen 79'
  • goal Daniel Johnson 90'+2'
Championship Gameweek 40
Jul 1, 2020 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Cossham Street Stadium
  • goal Wayne Rooney 18'
Championship
Nov 23, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Martyn Waghorn 33' goal
  • yellowcard Darnell Fisher 23'
  • yellowcard Joe Rafferty 41'
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2019 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Deepdale Stadium (Preston)
  • Ben Pearson 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Malone 91'