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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.11%) and 1-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Preston North End |
30.01% | 29.05% | 40.94% |
Both teams to score 43.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.24% | 62.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.71% | 82.29% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.57% | 37.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.78% | 74.21% |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.86% | 30.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.71% | 66.29% |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 6.53% 2-0 @ 5.45% 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.74% Total : 30.01% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 11.28% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.04% | 0-1 @ 13.53% 0-2 @ 8.11% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-3 @ 3.24% 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 0.97% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.39% Total : 40.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
> Championship Full Table |