Championship

Championship | Gameweek 16

Nov 3, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Oakwell

Barnsley
2 - 1
Derby

Adeboyejo (39'), Leya Iseka (50')
Woodrow (26'), Brittain (64'), Andersen (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Baldock (24')
Morrison (15'), Buchanan (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Barnsley and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 42.55%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 28.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Derby County
42.55%	29.38%	28.08%

Both teams to score 42.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.59%

64.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.53%

83.47%

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.95%

30.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.82%

66.17%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.08%

39.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.42%

76.58%

Score Analysis

Barnsley 42.54%

Derby County 28.07%

Draw 29.37%

Barnsley	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 14.42% 2-0 @ 8.67% 2-1 @ 7.96% 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.35% Total : 42.54%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 11.99% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.37%	0-1 @ 11.01% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.39% Total : 28.07%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Derby

Barnsley

32.0%

Draw

18.6%

Derby County

49.5%