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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.67%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 27.96% | 27.95% | 44.1% |
| Both teams to score 45.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.16% | 59.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.88% | 80.12% |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.53% | 37.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.75% | 74.26% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% | 27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.65% | 62.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 6.38% 2-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.72% Total : 27.96% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 13.24% 0-2 @ 8.67% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-3 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 3.72% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-4 @ 1.24% 1-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.89% Total : 44.09% |