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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Barnsley |
| 42.78% | 27.74% | 29.48% |
| Both teams to score 47.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.48% | 58.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.9% | 79.09% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% | 27.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.55% | 62.44% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% | 35.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.69% | 72.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 12.57% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 8.21% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.92% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.62% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.04% Total : 29.48% |