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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ricoh Arena
Derby logo

Coventry
1 - 1
Derby

Godden (20' pen.)
Maatsen (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Shinnie (78')
Davies (71'), Morrison (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Coventry CityDrawDerby County
49.64%27.54%22.82%
Both teams to score 42.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.45%61.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.6%81.4%
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97%25.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.3%59.7%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.91%43.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.64%79.37%
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 49.63%
    Derby County 22.82%
    Draw 27.53%
Coventry CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 14.93%
2-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 8.71%
3-0 @ 4.78%
3-1 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.65%
4-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 49.63%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 10.78%
2-2 @ 3.67%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.53%
0-1 @ 9.08%
1-2 @ 5.3%
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 1.49%
0-3 @ 1.07%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 22.82%

How you voted: Coventry vs Derby

Coventry City
75.4%
Draw
14.0%
Derby County
10.5%
57